Sunday 22 November 2015

Turn Again

Both of the realistic outcomes to the London Mayoral Election would be beneficial to Jeremy Corbyn.

Even if Zac Goldsmith were to top the first preference vote, which promises to be close, then most of Sadiq Khan's second preferences would go to George Galloway, or at least far more than would go to Goldsmith, while the huge majority of Galloway's second preferences would go to Khan.

Either Galloway or Khan will win. Either of those victories would amount to a victory for Corbyn.

If Galloway won, then Khan would be free to return as Shadow Justice Secretary. If Khan won, then Galloway would seek to return to the House of Commons in 2020; I have a hunch, although nothing more than that, as to which seat he would seek, and why.

But only a Goldsmith victory would endanger Corbyn. That is not going to happen.

No comments:

Post a Comment