Tuesday 23 December 2008

Taiwan

The message could not be clearer. The reunion of China is coming. And, since today's Taiwan is indigestible by today's China, change is coming to mainland China before, during and after that reunion.

2 comments:

  1. You kinda got this sideways. Change is coming, but to Taiwan, where, as we move closer to China, we become more like it politically.

    Also, there is no "reunion" because Taiwan was never part of China. It was a colonial holding of the Qing dynasty and the Japanese. Both the US and the UK, whatever they may say publicly, hold that the status of Taiwan is undetermined, and the current government has no legit claim to it.

    You won't like my human-centered, progressive politics, but I think you will like my Taiwan politics blog very much.

    http://michaelturton.blogspot.com

    Michael

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  2. I will look at your blog. But the British and American governments certainly do not believe any such thing, and nor does anyone else beyond the very craziest neoconservative circles and their Taiwanese separatist hired help.

    Everyone knows that they Taiwan has always been part of China and that the current de facto separation was an accident at the end of the War, not wanted by either side then or now. So everyone knows that there will be reunion eventually. It is just a matter of the terms.

    Even if the independence lobby on Taiwan ever got anywhere, no one would ever risk the entirely deserved economic and military wrath of China by recognising Taiwanese independence.

    Least of all would the United States do so. As much as anything else, Kosovo merely threatened that strongly Hispanic areas along the Mexican border might one day declare UDI. Taiwan, on the other hand, would set a precedent for absolutely any discontented United State, no matter how much like the national mainstream in ethnic terms.

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